ATP Washington odds, tennis picks

Felix Auger-Aliassime will need a big showing during the North American hard-court season to turn around what’s been a disappointing 2023 tennis season.

The former World No. 6 has won just 13 of 24 matches this season and was bounced in the first round of both the French Open and Wimbledon.

Auger-Aliassime has won just one of his past five contests, and that victory came against World No. 240 Pablo Llamas Ruiz on May 22. 

Felix Auger-Aliassime
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Offside via Getty Images

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Yosuke Watanuki prediction

(12 p.m. Eastern)

Injuries have played their part in Auger-Aliassime’s dismal season, but when the Canadian has been on the court he’s been erratic and full of mistakes. 

In a vacuum, Auger-Aliassime’s first match of the Citi DC Open should be just what the doctor ordered.

He’s a much better player than his opponent, World No. 99 Yosuke Watanuki, and he’s playing on his favorite surface. 

But even with a sizable talent gap and the conditions pointing toward the Canadian, it’s impossible to trust Auger-Aliassime as a -320 favorite against basically any player in this field. 

Yosuke Watanuki of Japan
Yosuke Watanuki of Japan
Getty Images

When he was at the peak of his powers, Auger-Aliassime was able to overcome his flaws.

He’s an aggressive player who can pull the trigger too early and make plenty of unforced errors, but his shot-making and overpowering serve could wipe away those mistakes.

But an out-of-form Auger-Aliassime has to work much harder to cover up his blemishes. 

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Watanuki likely won’t have the game to upset Auger-Aliassime, but he should be able to at least nab a set against a player that is really struggling.

The play: Yosuke Watanuki +1.5 sets (-105, FanDuel)

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𝗖𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝘁𝘀, 𝗖𝗼𝗽𝘆𝗿𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁 & 𝗖𝗼𝘂𝗿𝘁𝗲𝘀𝘆:
𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝗿𝗲𝗴𝗮𝗿𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗗𝗠𝗖𝗔,
𝗣𝗹𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗲 𝘀𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝘂𝘀 𝗮𝗻 𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗹 𝗮𝘁

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