Stay from Newark, N.J., UFC 316 is jam-packed with large fights, champions, contenders and grizzled vets.
A great deal of family names like Kevin Holland, Vicente Luque, Kelvin Gastelum, together with newcomer Patchy Combine, are just some stars to observe this weekend.
We’ll have wall-to-wall protection of UFC 316 all through, together with dwell updates, as The Put up’s Scott Fontana and I will probably be in attendance.
Beneath, I break down my finest bets for this 13-fight card the place simply 5 fights are anticipated to go the space.
Anticipate violence in entrance of a high-octane crowd on the Prudential Heart.
UFC 316 predictions
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley
Merab Dvalishvili regarded like a -1000 favourite of their first assembly final September when he wrestled O’Malley’s title away from him en path to a unanimous resolution win.
Dvalishvili was a +105 underdog in that battle, which appears like a present in hindsight.
For the quantity that Dvalishvili grappled in that battle, he didn’t win the choice clearly, in line with the judges.
Two had Dvalishvili up, 48-47, and successful three of the primary 4 rounds.
It’s potential that Dvalishvili threw away the fifth and remaining spherical after having coasted by means of the primary two, however O’Malley did land some laborious pictures.
Dvalishvili does have a transparent path to victory by way of takedowns, as he went 6-for-15 on makes an attempt within the first battle, though he was simply 3-for-11 within the battle’s remaining three rounds.
The chances had been a bit huge right here, with O’Malley reaching +300 standing at one level, however his value has cratered all the way down to a way more palatable +210 underdog on the time of writing.
Dvalishvili by resolution is -150 odds, and we all know that is the most definitely state of affairs when it comes to win fairness, the place the Georgian grappler might simply proceed to land takedowns in opposition to the cage.
Though, this isn’t your 2021 MMA the place grapplers had been allowed to lie on their opponents en path to a 50-45 resolution.
Dvalishvili doesn’t tire, that a lot we all know.
However O’Malley didn’t land that a lot injury and nonetheless took two rounds.
I nonetheless assume the worth is on O’Malley, who ought to have realized a ton from their first matchup.
Let’s again the Sugar Present to reclaim his gold in a wild scene in Newark.
PICK: Sean O’Malley ML +215 or higher (+230, DraftKings)
Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison
Lengthy anticipated to be the most effective fighter within the ladies’s bantamweight division, Kayla Harrison faces champion Julianna Pena in one of the crucial extremely anticipated bouts in ladies’s title historical past.
Harrison is an athletic marvel, as she is the one American to win Olympic gold in Judo.
With a sterling 18-1 file, Harrison is a -750 favourite and rightfully so. She has been dominant at each step of her blended martial arts profession.
Pena has strong submissions and we all know Harrison has a robust offensive grappling background, so I’d presume the champion feels comfy preventing off her again.
Get the lowdown on the Finest USA Sports activities Betting Websites and Apps
That’s a nasty recipe so far as betting is worried, as anybody who’s in grappling conditions on their again is shedding except they get a submission win.
Harrison has by no means been submitted in her profession and Pena is +1200 to take action.
That’s the one approach I see Harrison shedding and even oddsmakers don’t see that taking place.
Harrison dominates Saturday night time… AND NEW.
PICK: Harrison wins in Over 1.5 rounds (-175, DraftKings)
UFC 316 full battle card predictions
Merab Dvalishvili vs. Sean O’Malley: Sean O’Malley ML +215 or higher (+230, DraftKings)
Julianna Pena vs. Kayla Harrison: Harrison wins in Over 1.5 rounds (-175, DraftKings)
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer: Pyfer by submission (+440, BetRivers)
Mario Bautista vs. Patchy Combine: Combine by KO/TKO (+900, BetMGM)
Vicente Luque vs. Kevin Holland: Combat goes to resolution (+165, Fanatics Sportsbook)
Bruno Silva vs. Joshua Van: Bruno Silva by resolution (14/1, BetRivers)
Azamat Murzakanov vs. Brendson Ribeiro: Murzakanov by KO/TKO in Spherical 2 (+300) or 3 (+750, FanDuel)
Serghei Spivac vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta: Combat goes to resolution (+165, BetRivers)
Khaos Williams vs. Andreas Gustafsson: Williams wins by KO/TKO in spherical 1 (+390, FanDuel)
Ariane da Silva vs. Wang Cong: Combat goes to resolution (-115, DraftKings)
Jeka Saragih vs. JooSang Yoo: Combat goes to resolution (+160, BetMGM)
Quillan Salkilld vs. Yanal Ashmouz: Ashmouz ML (+425, DraftKings)
MarQuel Mederos vs. Mark Choinski: Mederos ML for parlays (-205, Caesars)
Why Belief New York Put up Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. Throughout the soccer season he’s showcased large earnings at The Put up within the participant prop market the final two seasons. Whereas always betting lengthy pictures, his return on funding is 30.15 % since 2022.
