A brand new Emerson/PIX/The Hill ballot reveals Zohran Mamdani catching as much as ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo within the mayoral race.
The ballot, launched Wednesday, finds Mamdani dropping by 12 factors to Cuomo within the first spherical and coming inside single digits — 8 factors — of Cuomo in a full, ranked-choice voting simulation.
Most different polls within the race up to now have discovered Mamdani behind the previous governor by greater than 20 factors.
“Andrew Cuomo has hit his ceiling, while we’re nowhere near ours — and in just a few weeks, we will defeat the disgraced ex.-Governor and send him back to the suburbs,” Mamdani’s marketing campaign stated, promising they’d leverage an “unprecedented field operation” within the remaining stretch of the first race.
Cuomo acquired 35% of the votes within the first spherical, with Mamdani, a present state assemblymember, gathering about 23% in Wednesday’s ballot. The final Emerson ballot, in late March, discovered Cuomo receiving 38% to Mamdani’s 10%.
“This poll of registered voters appears to be an outlier, but the facts across the board remain the same — Andrew Cuomo is the consistent and overwhelming frontrunner in this race,” Wealthy Azzopardi, a spokesperson for Cuomo’s marketing campaign, stated. “That’s because New Yorkers know he is the only candidate in this race with the executive experience and the proven record of results to fix what’s broken and put this city back on the right track after 12 years of failed leadership.”
Brad Lander, presently town’s comptroller, is available in third within the ballot with 10.5% within the first spherical, adopted by former Comptroller Scott Stringer at 9% and Council Speaker Adrienne Adams at 8%.
“Cuomo has led in the polls since early 2025, but Mamdani has surged, gaining 23 points and winning second-choice votes nearly 2-to-1, cutting Cuomo’s ranked-choice lead from 12 points to 9 points,” Spencer Kimball, government director of Emerson School Polling, stated in a press release. “With four weeks to go, the question is whether Cuomo can run out the clock, or if he needs to win over second-choice voters to hold off Mamdani’s momentum.”
In accordance with the ballot, Mamdani has an edge with white college-educated voters below 50, whereas Cuomo maintains a powerful lead with Black feminine voters over 50.
