An appetizer the week earlier than the primary course.
The UFC returns to its UFC Apex warehouse this weekend for a median Combat Night time occasion, one week forward of a loaded card at UFC 316 in Newark.
Saturday’s card received’t be one you keep in mind for years to come back by way of leisure worth, because it’s not the best degree card we’ve seen, however maybe you’ll look again on it as one which made you massive cash.
With 11 fights on the schedule and 6 of them projected to finish inside the space, in keeping with the oddsmakers, we must always have one other enjoyable evening in entrance of us. Listed below are my UFC Combat Night time Vegas 107 predictions:
The whole card is getting primetime remedy this weekend because it begins at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber
Elmwood Park, N.J.’s personal Blanchfield has an opportunity to earn a flyweight title shot with a win Saturday. The pressure-oriented fighter is at all times all the way down to strike along with her opponent, even when the trail of least resistance is likely to be grappling.
Barber was as soon as a high prospect, profitable her first 4 fights within the UFC earlier than dropping two straight. All hope felt prefer it had been misplaced for Barber’s possibilities of turning into a title challenger, however six straight wins have modified her outlook.
Considerably surprisingly, Barber is only a +180 underdog on Saturday. It is a robust spot for the extremely athletic flyweight who can’t actually defend takedowns at a excessive degree.
Her offensive grappling is powerful, however she stuffs takedowns at solely a 53 % fee. Andrea Lee took her down 5 instances in 2022.
I believe Blanchfield will get it accomplished right here, and a submission is, in fact, potential given Barber’s struggles stopping takedowns. For that cause, I’ve constructed a same-game-parlay on DraftKings that accounts for submissions.
Blanchfield to win by determination is -115, however I’d desire to play it this manner:
Choose: Blanchfield moneyline + combat begins Spherical 3 (-160, DraftKings).
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein
It’s been some time since we’ve seen Gamrot, who was as soon as firmly within the light-weight title image. He’s a takedown machine who boasts wins over title challenger Arman Tsarukyan in addition to striker Rafael Fiziev.
Gamrot’s solely losses are in opposition to Beneil Dariush and Dan Hooker, two hard-nosed, top-tier strikers.
Whereas Klein is a strong fighter who has used his putting to win massive, it’s not my favourite spot to wager on him this weekend.
He shockingly defeated Ignacio Bahamondes in 2023, however he has struggled in different spots, notably in opposition to Jai Herbert, who has a tough 3-5-1 report, and he has a loss to Michael Trizano, who has since parted methods with the promotion.
I count on Gamrot will win by determination right here so long as he doesn’t fall in love along with his below-average putting and takes the trail that provides him the perfect likelihood at victory.
Choose: Gamrot by determination (+102, BetRivers).
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UFC Vegas 107 full card picks for prelims and primary playing cards
Blanchfield moneyline + combat begins Spherical 3 (-160, DraftKings).
Gamrot by determination (+102, BetRivers).
Billy Ray Goff vs. Ramiz Brahimaj: Goff by determination (+235, BetRivers).
Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes: Jacoby moneyline + combat begins Spherical 2 (-115, FanDuel).
Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson: Chiasson moneyline (-120, Fanatics Sportsbook)
Zachary Reese vs. Duško Todorovic: Reese ML (-230, DraftKings).
Jafel Filho vs. Allan Nascimento: Cross.
Kurt Holobaugh vs. Jordan Leavitt: Holobaugh by determination (+500, DraftKings).
Trevin Giles vs. Andreas Gustafsson: Gustafsson by KO/TKO (+185, FanDuel).
Bolaji Oki vs. Michael Aswell: Cross. Aswell Jr. taking combat on extraordinarily brief discover; unclear what sort of form he’s in.
Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean: dos Santos by determination (-125, BetMGM).
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