Like ice in a drink, Arctic sea ice retains issues chilly – till it melts. Utilizing the identical precept, some scientists are investigating whether or not they could make sea ice thicker and higher capable of cool the planet. I lately returned from Cambridge Bay within the far north of Canada, the place I noticed some early experiments in observe.
Over the winter months, the build-up of sea ice round Cambridge Bay and throughout the Arctic helps preserve the ocean water beneath near the freezing temperature, which for saltwater is round -1.8°C.
These situations are broadly maintained even by means of the early summer time till the ice begins to soften and break up. The white ice cowl, which displays a big portion of the solar’s power, is then changed by darkish blue water, which has the other impact. Now absorbing extra daylight, the water warms up.
Such has been the balanced perennial cycle of sea ice within the Arctic, however latest a long time of worldwide warming could be placing it in jeopardy.
Over the previous 30 years, sea ice within the Arctic has decreased. Rising air temperatures coupled with hotter water flowing in from additional south have meant the ice begins to kind later within the 12 months and soften earlier.
With much less sea ice, there are longer intervals in summer time the place extra of the solar’s power is absorbed fairly than mirrored into area. This creates a suggestions loop – the hotter the water, the much less sea ice is fashioned; the much less sea ice there’s, the hotter it will get.
The creator (in blue) and colleagues on the ice close to Cambridge Bay in March 2025.
Actual Ice
My journey to Cambridge Bay was as a part of a crew of scientists and engineers who’ve gathered along with native communities within the Arctic and two umbrella initiatives: Actual Ice and Arctic Reflections. These teams wish to analysis whether or not something will be accomplished to quickly decelerate and even reverse the lack of sea ice.
The final word answer is, undoubtedly, deep and fast reductions in greenhouse gasoline emissions. However with sluggish progress over the previous few a long time, further measures could purchase us time.
Shopping for time
A number of massive concepts are at present being explored. The primary entails pumping seawater on high of present ice to try to promote ice development on high of the ocean ice.
Normally, any new sea ice that varieties naturally does so on the underside of the ice. The method of freezing provides off some power, which should escape by means of the ice above – insulator.
The concept of pumping on high of the ice is that by bypassing the insulating impact, extra sea ice would possibly kind – and the warmth it provides off will be transferred to the chilly winter Arctic air or instantly radiated out to area.
The creator, pumping water onto ice.
Actual Ice
The second thought stems from the realisation that snow is a fair higher insulator than ice. The proposal is due to this fact to pump simply sufficient water onto the snow to flood it.
Because it freezes and turns into strong ice, it turns into far more conductive than snow. In flip, it will allow extra sea ice to kind naturally on the underside of sea ice.
A 3rd thought is derived from the statement that as sea ice melts within the early summer time, soften ponds kind on the floor. These soften ponds are a lot darker and take in extra warmth than the unique ice.
So the concept is to discover whether or not it could be doable to drill small holes within the ice to empty them, exposing reflective ice and slowing the soften.
These concepts would possibly sound fanciful, however the dramatic adjustments within the Arctic warrant investigation into interventions that would have an effect prior to reducing emissions or eradicating greenhouse gases.
Can we actually save sea ice?
Crucially, the analysis is targeted on growing our understanding of those potential concepts. The analysis may present that they’re impractical, unfeasible or would doubtlessly make issues worse.
For instance, if pumping sea water onto sea ice results in thicker ice on the finish of the winter, that might not be a lot use if the ice is a lot saltier that it melts extra shortly.
A ship docks for the winter in Cambridge Bay, Canada, as the ocean across the city turns to ice.
Jason Pineau / Alamy
Due to this fact, researchers are utilizing a mixture of mathematical modelling, laboratory experiments, and limited-scale subject experiments to handle basic questions. A analysis mission funded by the UK authorities has simply been launched which incorporates modelling of thickening of sea ice.
An additional one together with further out of doors experiments will likely be beginning quickly funded by the UK’s Superior Analysis and Invention Company (Aria) as a part of its Exploring Local weather Cooling programme.
These experiments will likely be carried out in shut collaboration with native communities and beneath Aria’s stringent governance framework, prioritising security and environmental monitoring. The aim is to assemble important real-world knowledge to carefully assess if this intervention warrants additional consideration.
The preliminary outcomes and observations from preliminary subject experiments are inconclusive however encouraging. For instance, the ice fashioned by pumping sea water onto sea ice seems to develop into much less salty (and due to this fact much less susceptible to melting) over just a few weeks.
The brine which varieties as seawater freezes on the floor is extra dense than the ice and seems emigrate downwards by means of the ice. This appears theoretically believable, however it’s too early within the experiments to be assured within the outcomes.
If this analysis means that thickening sea ice works, then the subsequent step will likely be to interact with extra Arctic locals and varied policymakers, and decide whether or not scaled-up testing of a few of these approaches can be acceptable.