The second could possibly be too large for the younger stars of Oklahoma Metropolis.
Heading again dwelling for Recreation 7, the Thunder are 7.5-point favorites, based on bet365, however we’ve actually seen causes for concern within the betting favorites.
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Nuggets vs. Thunder Recreation 7 betting preview
Oklahoma Metropolis is taking pictures simply 32.6 % from 3-point vary this sequence, the worst of any remaining playoff staff.
That’s fairly inconsistent with what we noticed within the common season, after they had the sixth-best 3-point proportion within the NBA (37.4 %).
The Thunder are additionally being out-rebounded 50-46.5 per recreation, with, in fact, Nikola Jokic main the way in which by averaging 29.8 factors and 14.7 rebounds per recreation.
You’d suppose that free-agent acquisition Isaiah Hartenstein would pose an inexpensive competitors for Jokic, however that hasn’t been the case.
Jokic is taking pictures 57.1 % from the sector on 49 subject objective makes an attempt when Hartenstein is the first defender.
Betting on the NBA?
The Jokic puzzle is sort of unsolvable, however the Thunder could have discovered an fascinating new wrinkle to assault the MVP middle.
Alex Caruso guarded Jokic for a lot of the ultimate fourth quarter stretch, and whereas it sounds unattainable to have the 6-foot-5 Caruso guard the 6-foot-11 Jokic, the outcomes converse for themselves.
Jokic is taking pictures simply 28.6 % when guarded by Caruso (seven makes an attempt), and he additionally turned the ball over twice.
Oklahoma Metropolis ought to proceed to combine and match to decelerate Jokic, and whereas Caruso isn’t the stopper, his skill to pickpocket his matchups has been a pleasant increase for the Thunder.
Caruso has eight steals on this sequence by six video games, together with three blocks.
His steals prop is ready at 1.5 (+135, Bet365), and his steals + blocks projection can be set at 1.5 with sturdy juice to the Over (-170).
Let’s go Over every of those, as I believe Caruso will get loads of run in a Recreation 7 as the one champion on the roster who has been right here earlier than.
As for the sport, my mannequin has the Nuggets as getting some worth.
As we predicted in Recreation 6, they received the primary quarter slightly simply.
Don’t wager on the Nuggets to win this one outright, however a wager on them to win the primary quarter is once more a worthwhile endeavor, contemplating they have been 51-31 within the first 12 minutes within the common season and have received three first quarters on this sequence.
PICK: Caruso Over 1.5 steals (+135, Bet365) | Nuggets to win the primary quarter (+165)
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Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt however he has a black belt in MMA betting. Through the soccer season he’s showcased large earnings at The Submit within the participant prop market the final two seasons. Whereas continuously betting lengthy pictures, his return on funding is 30.15 % since 2022.
